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Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Profitability Can Be a False Purpose If You’re Taking part in Protection to Get There


A lot of conversations with founders over the previous few years about ‘reaching profitability,’ typically the place we’re on the cap desk, and likewise simply when a good friend wished some recommendation. I can inform fairly rapidly whether or not or not it’s price going deeper on what attaining this milestone would appear to be, and what we are able to do to assist. The discerning issue is whether or not the CEO believes they’re enjoying offense or protection. Whether or not they see profitability as a method to improve optionality and chance of a constructive end result, or whether or not they simply need to delay more durable conversations about viability and worth.

Some frequent attributes of enjoying offense:

  • Spending capital with the thought you possibly can generate greater than $1 of enterprise worth for every greenback that goes out the door
  • Managing one other value-accretive KPI alongside profitability – eg betting that attending to $5m ARR -AND- worthwhile makes you extra enticing as an acquisition goal
  • Constructing your individual resolution tree which has go/no go paths on the journey to profitability as a result of you might want to periodically assess the chance value, the chance/reward equation, the buy-in out of your crew, and so forth
  • Willingness to make use of capital to purchase again shares (at negotiated valuations) from buyers to be able to regain management of your organization, unify your cap desk, and cut back the choice stack to reward frequent holders

Statements or plans that counsel to me you’re enjoying protection:

  • Managing merely to a number of years of burn left so you possibly can say you’re ‘default alive’
  • Avoiding discussions along with your crew and buyers about what the worth of a worthwhile startup is likely to be, how that worth might finally be realized, and what it means for various lessons of shareholders
  • Believing you possibly can pivot to profitability with none modifications in tradition or administration practices
  • Pinning your hopes on improved future outcomes with normal statements like “perhaps the market can be higher subsequent 12 months”

Please don’t learn this as “properly, if you happen to’re not going to be ‘enterprise scale’ you’re enjoying protection. simply wind it down.” We have now firms in any respect completely different levels of valuation and funding raised who’re on offense by attending to profitability, and consider we’ll all become profitable collectively in these conditions. Nobody is pressuring them to be one thing they’re not. However if you happen to don’t have PMF, don’t have a crew that’s able to reorient the P&L, and don’t have the vitality as founders to steer, ‘profitability’ isn’t an answer, it’s only a mirage.

Bluesky has the JUICE -> https://bsky.app/profile/hunterwalk.com

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