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Sunday, June 15, 2025

The Coming Wave of Acquihires by @ttunguz


The Seed Surge of 2021 will result in a raft of acquihires.

In 2021 the entire variety of US software program & AI seeds jumped from 2900 to 4300 – a 49% soar. Seeds fell to about 3000 making a seed tabletop.

Sequence As moved in lockstep each on the best way up and the best way down – making a squeeze.

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These information type a part of a long term development of a larger variety of seeds however a comparatively mounted variety of Sequence As.

The consequence?

An 86% discount within the seed to Sequence A conversion charge. A part of this can be seeds are seed-strapping : elevating a seed and persevering with on earnings, catalyzed by the efficiencies of A.

AI is one other element : pre-AI and post-AI firms, that are roughly demarcated by the launch of GPT 3.5 in late 2022. Retooling merchandise with AI takes time.

Even with these components, the quantity of “extra” seeds (amount greater than the Sequence A market can deal with), continues to develop, ensuing within the reducing conversion charge.

This dynamic mirrors 2015 when a surfeit of seeds drove a gentle enhance within the variety of acquihires.

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Acquihires, acquisitions usually below $20m for expertise, could develop into de rigeur as incumbents search to bolster their groups with AI expertise & replace present merchandise with new capabilities.

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